Interest rates: central banks are taking different paths

Interest rates may seem like something only economists and bankers care about. In reality, they affect borrowing costs, savings returns, business investment decisions, and consumer spending.

Around the world, central banks are taking different approaches. Japan recently raised its policy rate to 1.0%, the highest level since 1995, as policymakers seek to contain inflation and manage rising price pressures.1 Jamaica has held interest rates steady while the Bank of Jamaica assesses inflation risks, geopolitical developments, and broader global economic uncertainty.2 Canada’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.2% in May, its highest level in nearly 2½ years. The increase has renewed debate about how long interest rates may need to remain elevated.3

Policymakers are also closely monitoring geopolitical tensions, energy prices, trade disruptions, and supply-chain pressures. For example, tensions involving Iran, Israel, and the United States have increased concerns about disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil shipments. Any disruption could increase transportation and production costs, placing upward pressure on inflation.

Interest rates remain one of the most important economic indicators to watch. Whether you’re managing a household budget, making investment decisions, or planning for business growth, understanding how interest rates work can help you make more informed decisions.

Swipe through our quick guide to learn the basics in 60 seconds.

Slide titled “What is an interest rate?”: the price of money. When you borrow money you pay interest, and when you save money you earn interest.
What is an interest rate? The price of money.
Slide titled “How interest rates work”: you borrow today and pay extra over time. Borrowing J$1,000,000 at 10% interest means repaying about J$1,100,000 after one year, before fees and other charges.
How interest rates work: at a 10% interest rate, you pay about 10% more than you originally borrowed.
Slide titled “Why do interest rates go up?”: to help keep inflation under control. When prices rise too quickly, central banks may raise rates to encourage saving and reduce borrowing, aiming to slow inflation and promote price stability.
Why interest rates go up: to help keep inflation under control.
Slide titled “What are central banks watching?”: geopolitical conflicts, energy prices including possible disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, and trade and supply-chain disruptions. Global events can influence inflation and economic stability.
What central banks are watching: geopolitical conflicts, energy prices, and trade and supply chains.
Six-step flow from global events to local interest rates: conflicts disrupt trade and energy markets, fuel, shipping and imports cost more, businesses pay more and raise prices, inflation increases and central banks may raise rates.
From global events to local interest rates: global events can influence prices, borrowing costs and business decisions at home.
Six-step sequence: prices rise faster than incomes, central banks raise interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive, spending slows, inflation slows and prices become more stable.
How higher interest rates work to slow inflation.
Slide titled “Who benefits”: higher interest rates can help savers, fixed-income investors and people holding cash. Key takeaway: higher rates aren’t good for everyone, but they can reward saving over spending.
Who benefits: higher rates can reward saving over spending.
Slide titled “Who feels the pressure?”: higher rates can make borrowing more expensive for homeowners with loans, businesses that borrow and consumers using credit. They help control inflation but can raise costs for borrowers.
Who feels the pressure: higher rates can increase costs for borrowers.
Slide titled “What should businesses watch?”: when interest rates rise, borrowing costs increase, expansion may slow, cash becomes more valuable and financial planning becomes more important.
What businesses should watch when interest rates rise.

Don’t just react to economic change. Prepare for it.

  1. Reuters. 2026. “BOJ May Raise Interest Rates Twice by March, Says Former Policymaker.” June 19, 2026. ↩︎
  2. Bank of Jamaica. 2026. Monetary Policy Committee Statements and Interest Rate Decisions. ↩︎
  3. Reuters. 2026. “Canada’s Annual Inflation Rate Surges to 29-Month High of 3.2% in May.” June 22, 2026. ↩︎

First published on LinkedIn on 22 June 2026.

Newsletter

Get our monthly research

One evidence-based article a month on the economy, environment and society in Jamaica and the Caribbean, sent to your inbox. Unsubscribe at any time.

Kingston Harbour and its port seen across the mangroves at Portmore

Let’s talk

Have a question the data could answer?

Tell us what you need to decide. We will help you gather the evidence and make sense of it.